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DATA DRIVEN DECISIONS

AI & Machine Learning

Predictive Maintenance: Cost, Implementation and What It Delivers

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Predictive maintenance on industrial assets using sensor and machine data

Key points: Predictive maintenance predicts failures before they occur and so lowers unplanned downtime by typically 30-50% and maintenance costs by 10-25%. The largest value arises in capital-intensive environments where downtime is expensive. Success depends on the availability and quality of sensor data and on integration with your maintenance processes, not on the model alone. This guide covers the data, the implementation, the cost and where the ROI comes from.

From reactive and preventive to predictive

Maintenance has three modes. Reactive maintenance repairs after a failure, cheap in setup, expensive in consequences through unplanned downtime. Preventive maintenance replaces parts on a fixed schedule, predictable, but wasteful, because you often replace still-good parts or act too late. Predictive maintenance sits in between: it predicts, based on the actual condition of an asset, when maintenance is needed.

That shifts maintenance from a calendar to actual condition. You intervene just before a failure occurs, not too early and not too late. For organisations with expensive, critical assets, that is the difference between planned, short interventions and costly unplanned outages.

What data you need

The basis is sensor data from the assets over time: vibration, temperature, pressure, current draw, depending on the type of machine. Ideally you also have historical failure cases, so a model can learn which patterns precede a failure.

In practice there is often more data than expected. Many installations already have SCADA or control systems that log signals; that data is a valuable starting point. Where failures are rare, which is exactly the case for well-maintained assets, we use anomaly detection: the model learns the normal behaviour of an asset and flags deviations, without needing many failure examples.

How an implementation runs

A project starts with assessing the available data and selecting the most critical assets, where downtime is most expensive. There you build a first model that monitors condition and gives early signals. Then comes the decisive step: connecting those signals to your maintenance process. A prediction that does not lead to a planned action changes nothing.

As with other ML applications, the breaking point rarely sits with the model and often with the move to production and operation. A model that worked well six months ago can degrade as operating conditions or the assets change. Continuous monitoring and periodic retraining therefore belong in scope.

What it costs

Costs consist of three parts: sensors and data collection (where not yet present), model development, and integration with maintenance processes. Where SCADA or IoT data is already available, a large part of the first line falls away and costs drop considerably.

A proof-of-concept on a set of critical assets is in the order of tens of thousands of euros and validates whether the available data allows reliable predictions. A wider rollout across more assets runs higher, but the cost per asset falls as the approach is standardised. An overview of the common outcomes is in our machine learning ROI benchmark.

Where the ROI comes from

The ROI is readily quantified and consists of three lines:

Less unplanned downtime. The largest line. Where an hour of downtime on a critical line runs into the thousands to tens of thousands of euros, preventing a few outages per year already pays back. The common range is 30-50% less unplanned downtime.

Lower maintenance costs. By maintaining on condition rather than on a fixed schedule, you replace parts at the right moment, not too early (waste) and not too late (failure). Common is 10-25% lower maintenance costs.

Longer asset life. Intervening in time prevents follow-on damage where a small defect damages a large component.

The pragmatic route

Start with the assets where downtime is most expensive and where data is already available, there the business case is strongest and the barrier lowest. Prove on that set that the predictions are reliable enough to act on, then scale out. Build the business case on the actual cost of downtime in your situation, not on a generic percentage.

Want to know whether predictive maintenance is feasible with your assets and data? Get in touch, we assess your sensor data and the critical assets where the value sits.

Frequently asked questions

What does predictive maintenance deliver?

Predictive maintenance typically lowers unplanned downtime by 30-50% and maintenance costs by 10-25%, by predicting failures before they occur. The largest absolute value arises in capital-intensive environments where an hour of downtime on a critical line runs into the thousands to tens of thousands of euros. The actual ROI depends on the cost of downtime and the quality of available sensor data.

What data do you need for predictive maintenance?

The basis is sensor data from the assets (vibration, temperature, pressure, current draw) over time, ideally with historical failure cases to train the model on. Maintenance logs and operating conditions help as well. Where failures are rare, we use anomaly detection that flags abnormal behaviour rather than predicting specific failures.

What does a predictive maintenance implementation cost?

Costs consist of sensors and data collection (if not yet present), model development, and integration with maintenance processes. A proof-of-concept on a set of critical assets is in the order of tens of thousands of euros; a wider rollout runs higher, depending on the number of assets and existing sensor infrastructure. Where SCADA or IoT data is already available, costs drop considerably.

Does predictive maintenance work if we have little sensor data yet?

Then you start by making data available. Sometimes there is more data than expected in SCADA or control systems. Where there are few historical failures, anomaly detection is a good starting point: it learns the normal behaviour of an asset and flags deviations, without needing many failure examples.

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Rutger Geerlings, founder of Stratalytic

Rutger Geerlings

Solution Architect

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